SAARI
Strategic Allocation into Adaptation and Resilience Investments
The Premise
Systemic climate risks from emerging markets may depress long term portfolio performance in developed markets by over 50%
Investing in reducing these risks is a core part of macroeconomic prudence
SAARI is an asset owner coalition that pledges 5% of AUM to climate systemic risk reduction within a 5 year time frame in investment grade opportunities
How Would It Work?
Commitment
Investors commit 5% of AUM within 5 years in investment grade assets that reduce systemic climate risk (SAARI coalition)
Research
SAARI secretariat conducts research on which climate impacts most reduce DM portfolio impacts
Assessment
SAARI secretariat assesses which interventions are most effective in mitigating these impacts, best practices for their implementation as well as project design
Design
SAARI facilitate the design of financial products for these interventions, including revenue streams, de-risking and syndication
The Investor Case
Improved DM Portfolio Performance
Investing in strategic climate risk reduction (SCRR) reduces macroeconomic shocks and protects returns across asset classes
Portfolio Diversification
SCRR investments do not correlate with a DM equity or fixed income portfolio, providing diversification benefits
Risk/Return Profile
De-risking through blended finance provides attractive risk/return profiles
Fiduciary Duty
SCRR investments fulfil fiduciary obligations above and beyond purely financial returns
Systemic Climate Risk Affects DM Portfolio Performance
Food Inflation
Agricultural yield volatility leads to higher prices contributing to inflation, central bank tightening and asset performance
Supply chain disruption
Impacts on ports, roads, etc. disrupt supply chains, reduce corporate profitability and margins
Livelihood loss & Migration
Water shortage related conflict and agricultural shocks create migratory pressures contributing to political destabilisation in DMs
What interventions help reduce this risk?
Strategic investments that build resilience and protect long-term value
Food System Resilience
- Climate resilient irrigation systems
- Cold chain storage
- Post harvest loss reduction
- Resilient seed systems
Water Security & Basin Stabilisation
- Aquifer recharge
- Watershed restoration
- Urban water system modernisation
- Transboundary river governance
Industry & Supply Chain Resilience
- Solar/battery systems for industrial zones
- Climate proof ports/logistics corridors
- Resilient manufacturing clusters
- Critical mineral supply stability
Livelihood Protection
- Climate smart micro-lending
- Climate indexed insurance
- Solar pumps, mills and agro processing plants
The Ask and The Coalition
The Ask
$1.5 trillion mobilised through SAARI over a 10 year period would be a sufficient catalyst to improve DM returns by 50-100 bps/year.
The Coalition
This would require a coalition with $30T of AUM across pension funds, life insurers, sovereign wealth funds, endowments and others.
Designing Investment Grade Opportunities
Risk hedging through political, currency and credit risk instruments
Loan syndication and securitisation create tradeable, liquid assets
Monetising adaptation from essential service assets creates stable cash flows
The Roadmap to 1.5
Risk Modelling
Modelling systemic climate impacts on DM portfolios and counterfactuals with a financed SAARI portfolio
Intervention Design
Best practices and considerations for intervention design to ensure adaptation impacts and return profiles
Product Design
De-risking architecture to create investable EM financial products for DM asset owners
Coalition Building
Scaling investor commitments to reach $30T AUM
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